Against the Spread: 2009 College Football Week 5

King Ing October 2, 2009 0

lsu-girls

Against the Spread is back (College Football on Fridays, NFL on Saturdays). Who doesn’t want to read some stranger’s college football gambling picks. The King will guide you on this ride as DeGags has gone on to bigger and better things. And don’t you worry, I will keep a record and units won/loss. (The vig will be counted because that is how actual sports gambling works or as my dad likes to put it; “That’s why the bookies drive the nice cars.” So good luck to me and if you don’t like my picks…F U!

Michigan @ Michigan St 12PM

Michigan St hasn’t been able to stop the run all year allowing Notre Dame and Wisconsin (193 yds) to punish the rock against what was coming into the season one of the Big Tens best defenses. Michigan on the other hand comes into the game a force on the ground. Whether it be led by Tate Forcier or Denard Robinson at QB; Brandon Minor and Carlos Brown at RB the Wolverines should be able to run at will on the Spartans. I look for a close game and as usual a late INT from Spartans QB Kirk Cousins.

The pick: 1 unit on Michigan +3.5

Washington @ Notre Dame 3:30PM

A friend of mine is making his annual trip to Notre Dame this weekend and since he started this tradition, the Golden Domers have covered every spread. So although the -12.5 scares me a little, I have faith that the “G in the stadium” play will work again. Helped by the fact that Washington can’t stop anyone on the ground (USC and Stanford gained 571 yards rushing) and the defense hasn’t registered a sack in the last three weeks. Expect a big day from Golden Tate, both receiving and taking direct snaps (9 carries for 55 yards, 1 TD against Purdue) and the Irish defense to do just enough to cover the number.

The pick: 1 unit on Notre Dame -12.5

Penn St @ Illinois 3:30PM

Penn St is coming off a horrid game under the lights last Saturday night against Iowa. Look for a “I am going to take my frustrations out on the next mother trucker I see game” from the Nittany Lions. The Illinois offensive line, who can’t protect anybody is facing the team that leads the Big Ten in sacks and tackles for loss. Not a good combination. Juice Williams (no TD passes this year) will continue to struggle, while Daryll Clark will do enough to get Penn St back on track

The pick: 3 units Penn St -7

LSU @ Georgia 3:30PM

LSU and Georgia on name alone should have Top 20 defenses in the nation, but this year is a little different. Opponents are averaging close to 30 points against the Bulldogs, but something tells me that Jordan Jefferson won’t be able to find Brandon LaFell as easily as he would like to this game. LSU has been giving up 15.2 ppg, but haven’t faced an offense quite like Georgia’s. Everything points to the over. Call it a gut feeling, but I see this a 24-20 type game either way.

The pick: 1 unit Under 50.5

Auburn @ Tennessee 7:45PM

Jonathan Crompton is horrendous and is turnover prone. Chris Todd (11 TD to 1 INT) on the other hand is sure handed and efficient for the rejuvenated Auburn attack. As long as this trend continues (and as long as Crompton plays it should) look for the Tigers to go into Tenn and escape with a win.

The pick: 2 units Auburn +2.5

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USC @ California 8PM

I don’t know what to think of this Cal team. One weak they are running all over Minnesota and the next they can’t protect Kevin Riley against Oregon (5 sacks). Too inconsistent for my liking. One side that does show signs of playing up to its level is the USC defense. With Michael Morgan and Chris Galippo getting help from Taylor Mays and Josh Pinkard, the unit should be able to contain Jahvid Best. Matt Barkley is pretty much healthy again and will find holes in the soft Golden Bears secondary

The pick: 1 unit USC -4

Oklahoma @ Miami 8PM

No Sam Bradford, no problem. Landry Jones is just as capable of going into Land Shark Stadium and leading this stout Sooners team to a win. Especially with the news that Miami’s starting safety Randy Phillips and backup JoJo Nicolas are out for the game. With Demarco Murray and Chris Brown pounding it on the ground, Miami will have to have 15 guys on the field to stop the juggernaut. Let alone facing a OU defense that has pitched two straight shutouts. A total mismatch!

The pick: 3 units Oklahoma -7.5

Good luck!

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