Against the Spread (NFL Week 17)

DeGags December 28, 2008 2

texans

Well here we go!! The last regular season week of the NFL. And thanks to the AFC East,the playoffs are here early. Quick recap. IF Miami Beats the Jets, then Miami gets in to the post season. If Miami loses, then the Jets get in if New England loses, or New England gets in if they beat the Bills. The Jets game has been moved back to 4:15. That means that if New England wins the 1:00 game, the Jets can keep the Patriots out of the post season by laying down to the Dolphins. What a conundrum for Jets fans. Win and your hated rivals make it to the post season….AGAIN! Lose, and keep the Pats out for the first time this decade.

Oakland at Tampa Bay. 13.5 points??? are you serious??? Tampa wins this game, but not by 13.5 points, Oakland won’t let that happen, they finally are playing offense and defense. No siree, I take 5 Units Oakland +13.5 over TB. I also take 5 Units on the Over 39.

Detroit at Green Bay. I am going All In on this game. Detroit is spent, they had many chances to win this season, and this is not it. Green Bay wins, and they win big! 12 Units Green Bay -10.5 over Detroit ATS.

Dallas at Philly. Philly in Philly, Show me the money!! Dallas will get beat here. I have 5 Units on Philly -1 over Dallas ATS. I have 5 Units on the Over 41.5.

Giants at Minnesota. Sure the Giants are going to rest their starters, and this game is now meaningless, but I can’t take Minnesota over the Giants at any point. 3 Units Giants +7 Over the Vikings ATS.

Chicago at Texans. Texans let me down against Oakland, Chicago almost lost to GB. Tough decision here, but I like the Texans at home, and I don’t like Chicago on the road in December, they just don’t play well. I take 1 Unit Texas -3 over Chicago ATS.

Carolina at New Orleans. I love both of these teams. Carolina let me down last week. New Orleans plays unbeatable at home. There’s the whole Christianity theme going to, The Saints, Christmas weekend, what to do?? Unfortunately that doesn’t mean much, even if God were a Saints fan, he still lets them play the games. That being the case, Carolina needs momentum going into the playoffs. I take 7 Units on Carolina -1.5 over New Orleans ATS.

St. Louis at Atlanta. The Falcons win, they win big, lots of scoring by both teams, but more by Atlanta. 44 points? very doable! I take 8 Units on the Over 44.

Kansas City at Cincinatti. I like the Chiefs in this one. I like sloppy football on both sides. I like a low scoring, cold Ohio football game. 4 Units on the Under 38.5

Jacksonville at Baltimore. Last week started with the Ravens shutting up my doubters. Not a peep out of them. Jacksonville let me down against the Colts. But it was 1 play that did me in. This game is predictable in one sense, it will have lots of scoring. Enough to cover the measly over you need. I take 7 Units on the Over 37.5 points.

Tennessee at Indy. Indy is overrated, the Titans will be in the Superbowl. Unless the Pats stop them. Yes, that’s right, the Patriots. But 1 game at a time. I like Tennessee to keep the Colts passing game in check. I see a great running game by the Titans, I see a low scoring match-up, more so than the 38 point O/U. I take 5 Units on the Under 39.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh. Okay, no need to explain myself here. I take 6 Units on the Steelers (-600) over the Browns Moneyline. I take The 5 Units on the Over 33.

Miami at New York. Ha ha. I love this one. I love this one because by the time this game is played, the Pats will have won their game. The problem is that Brett Favre hasn’t been around long enough to hate teams enough not to play to win. Nothing is clearer in my mind then Pennington choking at the Meadowlands when the game counts most. 11 Units on the Jets -3 over the Dolphins ATS.

New England at Buffalo. The Patriots are better, yes they are that much better. 3 Units Patriots -5.5 over the Bills ATS. 6 Units on the Over 36.

Seattle at Arizona. This game is for the birds. Seattle can win this, they are playing better football and look promising for next year. Arizona can come back to their 1st 1/2 of the season self again. Too much uncertainty, but I am certain that this will be a good, high scoring game. I have 4 Units on the Over 45.5 points.

Washington at San Francisco. I like the Redskins in this one. But SF has played well at home, recently. Another game that can go either way, but I don’t see this one being very high scoring at all. I Have 4 Units on the Under 37.

Denver at San Diego. I really like the Broncos up until they lost to the Bills. The Chargers will win this one, and they cover the spread. I have 5 Units on San Diego -8.

Independence Bowl 12/28
Northern Illinois vs. Louisiana Tech. I like Northern Illinois to take this one. I like the over as well. I have 3 Units on Northern Illinois -1.5 over LA Tech ATS. I have 3 Units on the Over 47.

Record: 54-42 (+31.1 units)

2 Comments »

  1. BT Capper December 28, 2008 at 10:07 pm -

    Who has enough money to bet this much? Your units must be 5 dollars. You worthless piece of crap.

    Why can’t you pick 3 or 4? I was just starting to like you

  2. DeGags December 30, 2008 at 8:50 am -

    #1 I guarantee that I am bigger than you and can bench twice your weight, so watch the mouth.

    #2 You don’t need to go in as heavy or as light as I suggest.

    #3 You don’t need to go in on every game I discuss.

    #4 Most people regularly go in heavier than usual for bowl games and playoffs. You can divide my picks by 10 if that is where you are most comfortable. My account is 100 Units, so 1 and 2 units aren’t as exciting for me towards the end of the year.

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