Will Big Brown complete the trifecta or will an upstart horse ruin his day?
1. Big Brown – The winner of the first two legs of the Triple Crown. We all know how good he is, favorite to win.
2. Guadalcanal – Why is he even in this race? Must be nice to have connections. Hasn’t broke his maiden and is trying to run with Big Brown. Get out of here!
3. Macho Again – Changing jockeys, from Julien Leparoux to Garrett Gomez. He is probably the most sought after jockey when it comes to big races. Macho Again came in a strong second in the Preakness. He has been in the exacta in 6-of-9 career starts, with 2 of those 3 races run on a polytrack. Will the length be too much?
4. Denis of Cork – Finished third at the Kentucky Derby. He also gets a jockey change back to Robbie Albarado who was on him when he run his last race. Sired by Unbridled, a distance loving horse; so the breeding is there. If he doesn’t break last like in the Derby, has a great chance to hit the board.
5. Casino Drive – The Japanese horse is well bred, and ran well in the Peter Pan for the 9 furlongs. He is a half-brother to Belmont Stakes winners Jazil and Rags to Riches. Has had trouble this past week galloping around the Belmont dirt and the huge crowd will not make him comfortable. Might be too eager and run at Big Brown too fast. Wild card.
6. Da’Tara – Likely pacesetter for the race. Is a mutter, but the track should be nice and dry on Saturday
7. Tale of Ekati – Finished fourth in the Derby. Would like a slower pace, which I think he will get. Has a chance to hit the board
8. Anak Nakal – Too slow, for some reason doesn’t like to get out early and force the issue. Stays back and waits until the end to pass the tired horses. Finished 7th an the Derby
9. Ready’s Echo – Is a deep closer. Pace might force him to the front too fast. There is a lot of fight in this horse and at the right price could be used in exotics.
10. Icabad Crane – 3rd in the Preakness. Bred to run the 12 furlongs, but the pace might be too slow. If the pace is quicker than expected, he could hit the board.
1) Big Brown – Too much talent to lose
2) Denis of Cork – Has a great post and should not break last like in the Derby. I like his closing speed and the jockey change will be beneficial.
3) Casino Drive – Great breading and can run the distance, but will be affected by the large crowd.
4) Macho Again – Slow pace will be beneficial. Can actually hit the board from 2nd to 4th.
As always, if you bet exotics, remember to box it. There is nothing worse in gambling than having the top 4 horses in a superfecta, but in the wrong order. Trust me, I have been there.